AI Supercomputer Reveals Shocking 2025-26 Premier League Standings Following Arsenal and Liverpool's Costly Mistakes
The 2025–26 Premier League championship battle is intensifying before the November international break, as Arsenal and Liverpool both lost crucial points in Gameweek 11.
What had started to appear like a commanding lead for Arsenal in their pursuit of a long-awaited championship has now become far more competitive. The Gunners allowed a late equalizer against Sunderland on Saturday night, surrendering points for the first time since September.
The 2–2 result for Mikel Arteta's squad wouldn't have been catastrophic if Manchester City had also failed to secure victory this weekend. However, the Citizens demolished Liverpool 3–0 at the Etihad, closing the gap to just four points behind table-toppers Arsenal.
The Reds, on the other hand, witnessed their brief return to form completely collapse on a wet evening in Manchester. Liverpool currently sits in eighth position, with their chances of retaining their English championship diminishing with each successive loss.
Here's how Opta's supercomputer forecasts the Premier League championship race following Arsenal and Liverpool's setbacks.
Supercomputer's Forecasted 2025–26 Premier League Table
Premier League Championship Battle
Pos. | Team | Current Points | Expected Points | Title Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Arsenal | 26 | 80.21 | 65.49 |
2. | Man City | 22 | 72.73 | 19.43 |
3. | Liverpool | 18 | 69.20 | 8.89 |
Despite Arsenal's stumble against Sunderland, they remain Opta's overwhelming favorite to capture the championship. The Gunners are forecast to accumulate approximately 80 points, which would be four points fewer than Liverpool required to secure the English title last season.
If Arteta's team claims the Premier League championship with 80 points, they would achieve this feat with the fourth-lowest points tally in league history.
Man City, meanwhile, are forecast to secure a second-place finish following their triumph over Liverpool. The Citizens are predicted to accumulate just over 72 points in 2025–26.
Opta, however, assigns Pep Guardiola's team a 19.43% probability of winning the Premier League championship; Man City represents the only other club granted double-digit odds to potentially become the next English champions, while Arsenal leads with 65.49%.
Liverpool have now dropped to third in Opta's calculations. The Reds' defeat at the Etihad positions them to collect merely 69 points, their lowest total since the 2022–23 campaign.
Champions League Qualification
Pos. | Team | Current Points | Expected Points | Champions League Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
4. | Chelsea | 20 | 63.20 | 39.23 |
5. | Aston Villa | 18 | 60.00 | 23.78 |
6. | Crystal Palace | 17 | 59.49 | 22.06 |
7. | Bournemouth | 18 | 57.15 | 13.35 |
8. | Man Utd | 18 | 56.34 | 11.55 |
9. | Brighton | 16 | 55.86 | 10.79 |
10. | Spurs | 18 | 55.01 | 9.88 |
Beyond the top three, multiple clubs are battling to secure Champions League qualification. It appears likely that the top five teams in England's premier division will earn spots in UEFA's elite club tournament.
Expectations were elevated for Chelsea to challenge for the Premier League championship following their FIFA Club World Cup success, but injuries and disciplinary issues have hampered the Blues' 2025–26 campaign. Nevertheless, they are forecast to claim fourth position with a 39% probability of Champions League qualification.
Opta then anticipates a close contest between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace for fifth position. The former is projected to conclude with 60 points while the latter is expected to finish with approximately 59 points.
Bournemouth remain contenders despite experiencing consecutive losses to Man City and Aston Villa before the November international break. The Cherries, however, are anticipated to settle for Europa League qualification, similar to Man Utd, who are assigned just an 11.55% chance of returning to Europe's premier competition.
Brighton and Spurs complete Opta's top 10. Despite currently occupying fifth position in the table, the supercomputer projects Tottenham Hotspur finishing the campaign in 10th place, missing out on European qualification next season.