AI Supercomputer Reveals Shocking Premier League Predictions as Liverpool's Title Hopes Take Another Hit
The Premier League's perennial runners-up are eager to claim the crown, with the defending champions' autumn struggles creating an opportunity for Arsenal to strike.
Liverpool took advantage of Manchester City's rapid downturn and Arsenal's injury problems to cruise to victory last season, but Arne Slot's team, despite their record-breaking summer spending, face a battle to keep their title.
A strong beginning to their title defense filled with dramatic late moments saw the "mentality monsters" label thrown around freely, but the Reds have now suffered consecutive last-minute losses, losing their position at the top as a consequence.
Slot's squad remained steadfast after climbing to first place in 2024–25, and Arsenal, who face a favorable upcoming fixture list after surviving a challenging opening period, will aim to show similar dominance this time to end their title drought.
Here's how Opta's supercomputer forecasts the Premier League championship battle to unfold, following Liverpool's 2–1 loss at Chelsea.
Supercomputer's Predicted 2025–26 Premier League Table

Premier League Title Race
Pos. | Team | Current Points | Expected Points | Title Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Arsenal | 16 | 77.11 | 44.23 |
2. | Liverpool | 15 | 74.91 | 30.61 |
3. | Man City | 13 | 69.75 | 14.32 |
Liverpool stayed as Opta's top choice after their loss to Crystal Palace, but Arsenal have now become the supercomputer's selection to claim first place.
They hold a one-point lead over the champions, and Opta is forecasting a flawed title contest to emerge. Arsenal are presently expected to conclude with slightly over 77 points, which is merely three more than what they accumulated as distant second-place finishers last campaign.
Indeed, a 77-point total would represent the lowest gathered by a Premier League winner since Manchester United (75 points) in 1996–97.
Liverpool are now predicted to collect just under 75 points, meaning they would narrowly fall short of their third Premier League title. Despite this slim difference, Opta evaluates their championship prospects at only 30.61% versus Arsenal's 44.23%.
Manchester City will advance as far as Erling Haaland can carry them this season, and that might be to glory, considering his early 2025–26 form. The Citizens trail the leaders by three points, but are hardly dominant. Their flaws are projected to result in just under 70 points, with Opta assigning them a 14.32% probability of regaining their crown.
Champions League Spots
Pos. | Team | Current Points | Expected Points | Champions League Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
4. | Chelsea | 11 | 61.53 | 31.08 |
5. | Crystal Palace | 12 | 60.85 | 29.17 |
6. | Newcastle | 9 | 58.71 | 22.13 |
7. | Bournemouth | 14 | 57.65 | 17.77 |
8. | Spurs | 14 | 57.04 | 17.18 |
9. | Aston Villa | 9 | 56.09 | 13.68 |
10. | Brighton | 9 | 55.19 | 11.49 |
There's a fairly clear top three, but there could be competition among multiple clubs for what might be two additional spots in next season's Champions League. It's probable that the Premier League's top five will secure places in UEFA's flagship club tournament.
Despite their win against Liverpool, Opta doesn't consider Chelsea genuine title challengers, but the supercomputer definitely favors their odds of securing a top-four finish.
Everton ended Crystal Palace's 19-match undefeated streak on Sunday, but Opta remains optimistic about Oliver Glasner's Eagles. They're expected to achieve their highest Premier League points total ever, and follow their Conference League participation with Champions League qualification next season. Palace's 60.85 projected points would secure fifth position.
The algorithm also favors Newcastle United despite their sluggish beginning, while Tottenham Hotspur's questionable underlying statistics suggest a decline is anticipated eventually. Bournemouth are forecast to compete in Europe for the first time ever, while Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion complete Opta's top ten.