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There's no understating it: Portugal taking on Croatia in the World Cup Round of 32 is a marquee clash, yet both teams come into the match well below full strength.
Portugal remains undefeated but barely scraped through their group, drawing against DR Congo and Colombia while defeating Uzbekistan, with Roberto Martínez's squad seemingly hamstrung by its ongoing dependence on an aging Cristiano Ronaldo. Croatia, too, appears to be on the decline, fielding an experienced but fading roster that fell to England before narrowly getting past Panama and Ghana.
The statistics tell a close story: Portugal has netted six goals compared to Croatia's five, posting xG figures of 3.57 and 2.24 respectively. Croatia holds the edge in conversion rate (21% versus 16%), while Portugal leads slightly in possession at 55% to 49%.
With very little separating the two sides, this promises to be an evenly matched encounter—although Portugal has claimed victory in seven of their 10 head-to-head meetings.
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