ไทย
English
中國人
The latest shake-up at the foot of the Premier League table arrived on Sunday when Tottenham Hotspur pulled off an impressive 2–1 win against Aston Villa.
Almost as captivating as the title race between Arsenal and Manchester City has been the frantic scramble for survival in England's top division. At one stage, Leeds United, Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and West Ham United were all in danger of joining Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship next season.
As the 2025–26 season draws to a close, however, the relegation battle has narrowed to a straight fight between Spurs and the Hammers. Heading into Gameweek 35, the latter held the advantage in 17th place over Roberto De Zerbi's side, but two massive swings saw the two clubs swap positions.
West Ham were hammered 3–0 by Brentford on Saturday, leaving the door wide open for Tottenham to climb above them to safety with a win at Villa Park—and they delivered in emphatic fashion.
With just three games remaining, here's how the Opta supercomputer forecasts the final stages of the Premier League relegation battle to unfold.
Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Premier League Relegation Battle
Relegation Richy is inevitable. pic.twitter.com/GgiXxewyVy
Position | Club | Current Points | Expected Points | Relegation Chances |
|---|---|---|---|---|
15. | Leeds United | 43 | 46.72 | 0.10% |
16. | Nottingham Forest | 39 | 44.12 | 2.29% |
17. | Tottenham | 37 | 40.90 | 22.48% |
18. | West Ham | 36 | 39.22 | 75.09% |
19. | Burnley | 20 | 22.73 | 100.00% |
20. | Wolves | 18 | 21.02 | 100.00% |
Leeds United are firmly on course for survival after claiming a 3–1 win over Burnley on Friday. The result lifted Daniel Farke's side to 14th in the standings, seven points above the relegation zone. While Opta anticipates the Whites to finish one spot lower than their current position, the club will have few grievances.
Just below them sit Nottingham Forest, who must wait until Monday for their clash with Chelsea. Even a single point at Stamford Bridge would take the Tricky Trees to the coveted 40-point mark widely considered sufficient for top-flight survival. The supercomputer expects Vítor Pereira's men to stay up, assigning them just a 2.29% probability of going down.
The real tension surrounds Tottenham. Spurs have now strung together back-to-back league wins to carve out a slim buffer in 17th place. Nevertheless, they are far from safe and carry a 22.48% chance of suffering relegation for the first time since 1977.
Tottenham's primary rivals in the battle are West Ham. This weekend's heavy defeat plunged the Hammers into the drop zone, leading Opta to assign a substantial 75.09% probability that Nuno Espírito Santo's side will be competing in the Championship in 2025–26.
The gap between Tottenham and West Ham is projected to be just a single point, meaning the identity of the third relegated club could well be decided on the final day of the season alongside Burnley and Wolves.