Supercomputer Reveals Its Bold Pick for 2026 World Cup Glory After Round of 32 Results

Just like that, the field has been trimmed to 16 nations battling for glory at the 2026 World Cup.

The round of 32 delivered plenty of drama. Notable sides including Germany, Croatia and Japan were sent home, while Argentina came dangerously close to joining them in a breathtaking match against a Cabo Verde team that has captured hearts around the world over recent weeks.

With the stakes rising even higher heading into the round of 16, the Opta supercomputer has been crunching the numbers to determine the most probable tournament champion.

Supercomputer Predicts World Cup Round of 16

France holds the strongest chance of reaching the quarterfinals this summer, with an impressive 86.62% probability of getting past Paraguay and moving on.

Argentina sits just behind France. A kind draw against Egypt has Lionel Messi's side well-positioned to advance, though their near-collapse against Cabo Verde serves as a reminder not to take anything for granted at this stage.

Morocco ranks third in terms of progression odds, with a 67.01% chance of defeating Canada and securing a quarterfinal berth.

Brazil (65.55%) and Spain (62.16%) are also tipped to advance, while Colombia (56.61%), England (55.59%) and the USMNT (50.96%) are slim favorites in their respective matchups.

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Supercomputer Predicts 2026 World Cup Winner

France was already considered the frontrunner following the group stage, and the supercomputer has actually boosted Les Bleus' title odds after the round of 32, now placing them at an elevated 28.89%.

That figure puts Didier Deschamps's squad well clear of the rest of the field. Argentina's title probability has edged up slightly to 16.32%, yet still falls well short of France's commanding lead.

Spain (12.96%) is the only other nation with a double-digit chance of lifting the trophy. Brazil (9.11%) and England (8.14%) are now considered long shots.

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Among the three co-host nations, Mexico ranks highest, though a 2.68% probability is hardly inspiring. The USMNT (2.06%) sits well ahead of Canada (0.51%).