Supercomputer Reveals Shock 2026 World Cup Champion Following Edge-of-Your-Seat Quarterfinals

And then there were four. With the 2026 World Cup quarterfinals now wrapped up, only the final four sides remain in contention.

The last remaining African representative, Morocco, was knocked out in the quarterfinals by France, while Belgium — who had earlier eliminated the United States — also bowed out, as Spain continues their march forward.

Erling Haaland and Norway made their tournament exit, unable to get past England. Surprise package Switzerland was the other side sent packing, with Argentina advancing in yet another nail-biting knockout clash.

With attention now shifting to the semifinals, the Opta supercomputer has assessed the most probable outcomes in the tournament's final week.

Supercomputer Predicts 2026 World Cup Semifinals

Among the four remaining sides, France holds the greatest probability of reaching the final. Les Bleus are given a 57.70% chance of overcoming Spain.

At 50.9%, England is rated as the second-most likely finalist — though Thomas Tuchel's side holds only a wafer-thin edge over their opponents, Argentina (49.6%). This match looks set to be a highly entertaining contest between two closely matched teams.

Spain is considered the least likely of the four to appear in the final at New York next Sunday, yet still carries a 42.30% chance of defeating France.

Supercomputer Predicts 2026 World Cup Winner

The supercomputer's stance has remained unchanged since the previous round, with France still its top pick to hoist the trophy at MetLife Stadium on July 19.

Following a straightforward 2–0 quarterfinal victory over Morocco that offered little resistance to Didier Deschamps's squad, Les Bleus are one step closer to adding a third star to their jerseys. Accordingly, France's pre-quarterfinal odds have been bumped up from 26.91% to 34.05%.

Spain, meanwhile, holds the second-highest probability of overall tournament glory at 23.45%, strongly suggesting that Opta expects the winner of that semifinal to go all the way.

England sits as the third favorite at 21.94%, with defending champions Argentina — perhaps unexpectedly — trailing behind at 20.55%.

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Argentina entered the competition as FIFA's top-ranked nation but now faces the steepest climb to finish the summer as champions. Instead, it is France — ranked third in the world — who are tipped to defeat second-ranked Spain before claiming the title from Argentina. Any alternative result, according to the supercomputer, would represent a stunning upset.