

The United States has been riding high on home turf at the 2026 World Cup, backed by two strong victories in its group stage opener, but a frustrating loss to Türkiye in its final group game has taken some of the shine off heading into its Round of 32 showdown against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
History still leans in Mauricio Pochettino's favor. The two nations have faced each other on three previous occasions, with the USMNT coming out on top twice—most recently in 2021—while the third encounter ended level.
Despite the stumble against Türkiye, the United States has outperformed Bosnia statistically throughout the summer: eight goals compared to Bosnia's five, an xG of 5.24 versus 1.83, an average possession share of 54% against Bosnia's 34%, and over 2,000 additional kilometers covered during the group stage.
The general expectation is that the United States will dominate the ball, while Bosnia drops into a low block and attempts to stifle their attacking play.
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