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Group D is beginning to take shape. The USMNT has already booked its spot in the World Cup round of 16, while Türkiye's campaign has come to an end.
Paraguay and Australia, on the other hand, still have everything to play for. Both sides enter this clash level on three points, but Australia is in the more comfortable position — a win or draw would be enough to clinch a place in the knockout stage. Paraguay likely requires all three points to finish in the top two, though a defeat wouldn't necessarily end their tournament hopes, as they could still progress as one of the best third-placed sides.
Head-to-head history favors Australia. Across five previous encounters, the Socceroos have claimed two wins, with the remaining three matches finishing level. Paraguay has yet to defeat Australia, with their last meeting held in Sydney back in October 2010.
Australia also has the edge in the FIFA World Rankings, currently placed 25th to Paraguay's 37th.
Recent form, however, tells a different story. Beyond their group-stage win against Türkiye, Australia has gone without a victory — in either competitive or friendly fixtures — since October 2025. Paraguay, in contrast, has put together an impressive run of results, defeating the likes of Greece, Mexico, and Nicaragua over the same stretch.
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